CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

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NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 3:38 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has converted an impressive 3.6 three-pointers per game this year, a big improvement over his 2.8 rate last year.
CJ McCollum has averaged 31.1 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 21.7 points per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Bucks, branding this as a good matchup for offensive performance.
The Pelicans will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bucks).
The Pelicans check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has attempted a measly 15.0 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 17.9 mark last season.
CJ McCollum has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed in all games this year.
The Pelicans rank as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
The 4th-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
Playing at home, the Bucks have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).