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CJ McCollum

CJ McCollum Points
Player Prop - 1/26/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-154/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -154.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

CJ McCollum has sunk a terrific 3.6 3-point shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 2.8 mark last season.

Out of all players in the league, CJ McCollum places in the 84th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 31.9 minutes per game this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 9th-quickest tempo offense in the league this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Offensive rebounds save possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 12thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 5.2 foul shots per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

CJ McCollum has attempted just 15.0 field goals per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 17.9 rate last season.

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a difficult one for field goals; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have put up the 15th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (34.7%).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

This year, opposing squads have captured 12.8 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder (preserving possessions that can generate further chances for offense).

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