CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2024

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz · Jan 23, 2024

Updated Jan 24, 2024 1:27 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-163/+118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -163.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum places in the 87th percentile for shots taken while on his home court, putting up 14.9 per game this year.
CJ McCollum has successfully made 3.8 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's made from three in all games this year on his home court.
CJ McCollum has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 84th percentile.
The New Orleans Pelicans will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 14thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Pelicans check in as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to shot attempts from downtown.
The matchup against the Jazz is a challenging one for three-point shots; opposing starting PGs have posted the 15th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (26.5%).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
The Jazz have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (12th-fewest in the league) against the Jazz, struggling to get to the foul line.