CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 13, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 12:19 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have shot 33.6% on three-pointers (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, branding this as a tough matchup.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games at home, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing clubs have attempted a mere 21.7 free throws per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the league).

Favors Under

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.
The most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans.
Over the last 10 games, opposing squads have come down with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks (retaining possessions that can create more chances for offense).

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