CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 1:36 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 10.1 clip, CJ McCollum's missed field goals have been reduced this season to 8.1 per game.
CJ McCollum has converted a whopping 3.6 threes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 2.8 mark last year.
Out of all players in the league, CJ McCollum places in the 84th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 31.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a positive one for three-pointers; opposing starting PGs have compiled the 25th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (38.4%).
The Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 21 games at home, which should increase plays for the New Orleans Pelicans.

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
With the home court advantage, the Warriors have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
CJ McCollum will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases stat production across the board.

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