CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs LA Clippers · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-143/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 2.8 rate, CJ McCollum's three-point shots scored have increased this year to 3.4 per game.
CJ McCollum has been on the court for 33.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 86th percentile.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Clippers are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 24th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (45.6%).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 19 games while at home.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the league as the home team with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 17.9 rate, CJ McCollum's shots taken have decreased this season to 15.3 per game.
The Pelicans rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to three-point attempts.
The Pelicans are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year (the Clippers).
Over the last 15 games when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have grabbed 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Clippers (preserving possessions that can result in added chances for offense).

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