CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

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NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Jan 1, 2024 12:09 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has made 3.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season while playing at home.
Out of all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum measures in the 86th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 33.4 minutes per game this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-speediest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Lakers).
Out of all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum comes in at the 79th percentile for drawing fouls, registering a massive 3.1 free throws per game this year.

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has attempted a mere 15.3 field goals per game this year, quite a bit less than his 17.9 rate last year.
The Pelicans have been the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 5.3 3-point attempts per game (11th-lowest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, making this a difficult matchup.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Without the home court advantage, the Lakers have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).