CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum comes in at the 86th percentile for field goal attempts, compiling 15.2 per game this year.
CJ McCollum has converted 3.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted in all games this year.
Out of all players in the league, CJ McCollum rates in the 86th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 33.4 minutes per game this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Out of all players in the league, CJ McCollum lands in the 79th percentile for getting to the foul line, putting up a whopping 3.1 foul shot attempts per game this year.

Favors Under

With respect to shots from downtown, the Pelicans's subpar 35.7% rate of converted threes while at home places 9th-weakest in the league this year.
The matchup against the Jazz is a hard one for threes; the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 15th-lowest three rate in the league this year (26.5%).
The Jazz have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (12th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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