CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has sunk 3.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted over the course of the year.
Among all players in the league, CJ McCollum places in the 85th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 33.1 minutes per game this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.
The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to see a spike in plays today from competing against the 6th-fastest pace road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8thbest in in the NBA at home with 10.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 17.9 rate, CJ McCollum's shots have been reduced this year to 15.3 per game.
With respect to three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league at home over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted 17.0 points per game (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, creating a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness.

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