CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 13, 2023 11:55 PM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has successfully made a whopping 3.8 three-point shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.5 rate last year.
CJ McCollum has averaged 32.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The 9th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 11 games has been the Pelicans.
The Pelicans are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from competing against the speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Washington Wizards).
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year.
Since the start of last season, opposing starting SGs have scored 14.4 points per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Wizards, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive performance.
The Wizards have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Washington is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.3 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Wizards are playing at home (15th-least in the league).
CJ McCollum will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers player performance for all stats.