CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2023

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 29, 2023

Updated Nov 30, 2023 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, CJ McCollum comes in at the 89th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 32.5 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The Pelicans rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home.
The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 7.4 free throws per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.
CJ McCollum will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 44.1% mark, CJ McCollum's field goal ability has fallen this year to 38.7%.
CJ McCollum has averaged 0.0 technical fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 41.8% on shot attempts from the field (12th-weakest in the league) against the Philadelphia 76ers, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the 5th-most lethargic pace road team in the NBA this year (the Philadelphia 76ers).
The Pelicans check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).