CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 11:37 PM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, CJ McCollum lands in the 93rd percentile for field goal attempts while playing on the road, registering 17.8 per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the league, CJ McCollum rates in the 94th percentile for three-point attempts while playing at home, totaling 7.0 per game since the start of last season.
CJ McCollum has played 34.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA away from home since the start of last season as it relates to shots made from the field.
Since the start of last season when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 2.3 threes per game (27th-highest in the league) vs. the Thunder, marking this as a strong matchup.

Favors Under

The Pelicans check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league when playing on the road since the start of last season in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Thunder, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
CJ McCollum will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.