CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 3/30/2023

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 30, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 1:37 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has converted 3.2 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season when playing on the road.
CJ McCollum has tallied 34.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 94th percentile.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The matchup vs. Denver is a good one; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 23rd-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (18.8).
CJ McCollum has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 20.6% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 7 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).