CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has attempted 19.1 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league.
CJ McCollum has attempted 7.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while at home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA.
CJ McCollum has played 33.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The matchup against Dallas is a strong one for threes; when the Mavericks are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have posted the 29th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (37.3%).
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point shots.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.
The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Pelicans.

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