CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2023

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NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Orlando Magic · Feb 27, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has attempted 19.1 shots per game this year, ranking in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.
CJ McCollum has attempted 7.4 3-pointers per game while at home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA.
CJ McCollum has played 33.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to boost opportunities for the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point shots.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a tough one; when the Magic are on the road, they have given up the 11th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (16.3).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.
On the road, the Magic have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Orlando is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 3.2 free throws per game this year when the Magic are away from home (10th-least in the league).