CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2023

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 24, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has attempted 9.7 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 1.8 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.
CJ McCollum has successfully made 3.8 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
CJ McCollum has attempted 4.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
CJ McCollum has played 34.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 94th percentile.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home (which can also create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one for threes; without the home court advantage, opposing squads have posted the 5th-lowest three rate in the league this year (37.9%).
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.
The Pelicans have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (4.2).

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