CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has successfully made 11.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 more than he's sunk overall this season.
CJ McCollum has converted 4.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season.
CJ McCollum has attempted 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
CJ McCollum has averaged 34.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 94th percentile.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (which can also create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.
The Pelicans have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Cavaliers.
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a tough one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SGs have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (4.6).
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 foul shots per game since the start of last season (5th-least in the NBA).
CJ McCollum will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to reduces player production for all stats.

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