CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2023

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has attempted 10.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
CJ McCollum has made 4.8 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.9 more than he's made from downtown in all games this season.
CJ McCollum has attempted 4.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
CJ McCollum has tallied 34.6 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which can also create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league since the start of last season.
The Pelicans have played at the slowest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Mavericks.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a hard one for three-pointers; while playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 3rd-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (25.9%).
CJ McCollum will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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