CJ McCollum Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Made 3 Point Shots

Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 3:38 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has converted an impressive 3.6 three-pointers per game this year, a big improvement over his 2.8 rate last year.
CJ McCollum has averaged 31.1 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 26th-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games (7.3).
The Pelicans will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bucks).
The Pelicans check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed in all games this year.
The Pelicans rank as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
The 4th-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
Playing at home, the Bucks have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
CJ McCollum should suffer a reduction in effectiveness across the board considering playing away from home in this game.