CJ McCollum Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2023

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 21, 2023

Updated Mar 21, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-128/-101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +109 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has made 2.8 threes per game this year, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league.
CJ McCollum has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The matchup against San Antonio is a good one for three-pointers; when the Spurs are away from home, opposing starting PGs have compiled the 27th-highest three rate in the league this year (35.5%).
The Spurs have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's tallied in all games this year at home.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Spurs have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.0) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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