CJ McCollum Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/21/2025

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 21, 2025

Updated Feb 22, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has averaged 33.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Pelicans check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has put up just 3.7 assists per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 4.6 assists per game last season.
Among all players in the league, CJ McCollum registers in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.3 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
CJ McCollum will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower stat production in all stat categories.

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