CJ McCollum Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2025

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 1, 2025

Updated Jan 2, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+123/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has averaged 4.1 assists per game this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric in recent days.
Among all players in the league, CJ McCollum places in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 33.3 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
The 6th-quickest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
The Pelicans have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (85th percentile).
The Pelicans are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).
CJ McCollum will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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