CJ McCollum Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 22, 2024

Updated Mar 23, 2024 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has averaged 31.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has averaged just 4.3 assists per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 5.7 assists per game last season.
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games as the road team.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pelicans.
The Pelicans have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
CJ McCollum stands to suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

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