CJ McCollum Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+128/-158).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, CJ McCollum places in the 84th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 31.5 minutes per game this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to raise possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has compiled a lowly 4.5 assists per game this season, significantly less than his 5.7 assists per game last season.
The 5th-most lethargic pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
The Raptors have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
CJ McCollum will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production across the board.

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