CJ McCollum Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 2:02 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-138/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has tallied 31.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 84th percentile.
The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from competing against the fastest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Pacers).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
The Pacers have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has posted a mere 4.6 assists per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 5.7 assists per game last season.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home.
CJ McCollum is expected to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

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