CJ McCollum Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 9, 2024

Updated Feb 10, 2024 3:32 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has played 31.9 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to see a rise in plays today from competing against the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 4thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has totaled just 4.7 assists per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 5.7 assists per game last year.
The Pelicans have played at the 7th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 20 games.
The Lakers have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (12.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
CJ McCollum is expected to suffer a drop-off in efficiency across the board as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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