CJ McCollum Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 5, 2024

Updated Feb 6, 2024 1:21 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 85th percentile.
The Pelicans are expected to see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the 4th-fastest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Toronto Raptors).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 10thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
CJ McCollum should see an increase in productivity for all stats on account of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has tallied just 4.7 assists per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 5.7 assists per game last year.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 20 games.
Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors (saving possessions that can create added opportunities for offense).

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