CJ McCollum Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has put up 4.9 assists per game this year on the road, placing him among the NBA's hottest by this metric in recent games: 90th percentile.
CJ McCollum has tallied 30.5 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The 6th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 7thbest in in the league with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

The Pelicans are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-slowest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics).
While on their home court, the Celtics have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
CJ McCollum will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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