CJ McCollum Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 7:53 PM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-154/+118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has posted 5.0 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the best in the NBA in this category in recent games: 91st percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum registers in the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 31.3 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The Pelicans will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 7thbest in in the league away from their home court with 11.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have come down with 14.6 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense).
CJ McCollum will likely suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

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