CJ McCollum Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 2:38 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has averaged 5.0 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 92nd percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum places in the 82nd percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 31.4 minutes per game away from home this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's committed over the course of the season.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which should reduce possessions for the Pelicans.
Over the last 15 games, opposing teams have collected 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (7th-most in the league) against the Nuggets (saving possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).
CJ McCollum ought to see a decline in performance in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

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