CJ McCollum Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs LA Clippers · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has tallied 5.4 assists per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard.
CJ McCollum has been on the court for 33.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 86th percentile.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 19 games while at home.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the league as the home team with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
CJ McCollum should see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The Pelicans are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year (the Clippers).
Over the last 15 games when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have grabbed 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Clippers (preserving possessions that can result in added chances for offense).

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