CJ McCollum Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 11:54 PM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has tallied 5.8 assists per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the best in the league by this standard.
Out of all players in the league, CJ McCollum comes in at the 85th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.1 minutes per game this year.
The Pelicans have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Pelicans check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
CJ McCollum should see an increase in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Rockets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.
The Rockets have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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