CJ McCollum Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 14, 2023 12:55 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-145/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has posted 5.5 assists per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard.
CJ McCollum has averaged 32.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The 9th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 11 games has been the Pelicans.
The Pelicans are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from competing against the speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Washington Wizards).
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

The Wizards have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
CJ McCollum will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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