CJ McCollum Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has put up 6.7 assists per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's put up overall this year.
CJ McCollum has played 34.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 95th percentile.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Warriors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Pelicans.
On their home court, the Warriors have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
CJ McCollum will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lowers stat production for all stats.

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