CJ McCollum Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2023

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 23, 2023

Updated Mar 23, 2023 9:31 PM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has averaged 7.0 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
CJ McCollum has averaged 34.2 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.
The Hornets have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should increase possessions for the Pelicans.
CJ McCollum will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 0.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Hornets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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