CJ McCollum Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2023

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 12, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 10:51 PM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has averaged 5.4 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the league leaders by this standard recently: 92nd percentile.
CJ McCollum has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Trail Blazers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
CJ McCollum will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually boosts player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games at home.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should decrease opportunities for the Pelicans.

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