CJ McCollum Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 3:36 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has compiled 5.4 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the hottest players in the league by this standard in recent games: 92nd percentile.
CJ McCollum has averaged 33.3 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
CJ McCollum will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.
While on the road, the Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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