CJ McCollum Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2023

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 31, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has compiled 5.8 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 95th percentile.
CJ McCollum has played 34.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 94th percentile.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home (which can also provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to technicals (93rd percentile).
The Nuggets have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games when playing at home (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.
CJ McCollum will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to worsens player production in all stat categories.

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