Christian Braun Points - Player Prop Bet 5/7/2025

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Christian Braun

NBA · Player Props

Christian Braun

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · May 7, 2025

Updated May 8, 2025 3:44 AM EST

Analysis

Christian Braun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Christian Braun has attempted 4.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this season.
Christian Braun has played 34.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SGs have shot for the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (44.1%).
The Thunder have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 10th-best in the NBA away from their home court with 11.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Christian Braun has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to shot attempts from downtown.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.
The matchup against the Thunder may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 1.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).
Christian Braun will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally reduces player production across the board.

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