Christian Braun Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2024

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Christian Braun

NBA · Player Props

Christian Braun

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz · Mar 9, 2024

Updated Mar 10, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Christian Braun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Christian Braun has attempted 5.6 shots from the field per game this year, a significant increase from his 3.5 rate last year.
The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Jazz).
The Nuggets rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Christian Braun ought to see an increase in efficiency across the board on account of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Christian Braun has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.9 more than he's been called for in all games this season at home.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Christian Braun places in the 24th percentile for free-throw proficiency with a an unimpressive 66.9% rate this year.

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