Christian Braun Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Christian Braun

NBA · Player Props

Christian Braun

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Christian Braun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-112/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 1.8 clip, Christian Braun's field goals sunk have risen this season to 3.2 per game.
Christian Braun has tallied a whopping 19.8 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 15.0 minutes per game last year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets.
The Nuggets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.6) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This matchup is a positive one for 3-point shots; their opposition has shot for the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (38.5%).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
With respect to drawing fouls, the Nuggets's subpar 20.7 free throw attempts per game comes in as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
This matchup may be a good one for drawing fouls; when the Grizzlies are the visiting team, opposing squads have attempted a whopping 27.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

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