Christian Braun Points - Player Prop Bet 10/24/2023

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Christian Braun

NBA · Player Props

Christian Braun

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Oct 24, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Christian Braun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This matchup is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Los Angeles Lakers are the visiting team, opposing squads have put up the 3rd-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (34.3%).
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have attempted 20.2 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Lakers, struggling to get to the free-throw line.
Christian Braun will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

In contrast to his full-year mark of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1)% in [AWAY_ROAD] games, Christian Braun's -point prowess has declined by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1)% over the last 15 games [AS_A_VISITING_PLAYER].
In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the league while on their home court this year has been the Nuggets.
The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Nuggets.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have grabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Lakers (preserving possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).

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