Christian Braun Points - Player Prop Bet 3/30/2023

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Christian Braun

NBA · Player Props

Christian Braun

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 30, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 1:46 AM EST

Analysis

Christian Braun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+107/-139).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Christian Braun has converted 55.2% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 18.3% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Christian Braun will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally boosts player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Christian Braun has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from downtown.
This matchup is a positive one for attempts from downtown; opposing clubs have totaled the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (36.8).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Pelicans have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to decrease plays for the Nuggets.

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