Chris Paul Steals - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2025

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Steals

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat · Feb 1, 2025

Updated Feb 2, 2025 1:34 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-220).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -195 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -220.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has totaled 1.3 steals per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 91st percentile.
The 6th-quickest pace home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Spurs.
Chris Paul figures to see a spike in output in all facets of the game as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Chris Paul has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.0 more than he's been called for over the course of the season at home.
The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the San Antonio Spurs.

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