Chris Paul Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2025

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs LA Clippers · Jan 29, 2025

Updated Jan 30, 2025 1:00 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-138/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has averaged 3.7 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric over this stretch.
Chris Paul has averaged 29.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 75th percentile.
The 7th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Chris Paul should see an increase in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The Clippers have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should reduce plays for the Spurs.

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