Chris Paul Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Golden State Warriors

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 11, 2024

Updated Apr 12, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has compiled 4.8 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.2 more than he's compiled in all games this year on the road.
The 9th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year has been the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Chris Paul has tallied a measly 26.4 minutes per game this year, quite a bit less than his 32.4 minutes per game last year.
The Golden State Warriors will likely see a decline in possessions today from squaring off against the 5th-most sluggish pace home offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Trail Blazers).
Chris Paul will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers stat production for all stats.

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