Chris Paul Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Golden State Warriors

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 11, 2024

Updated Mar 12, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Chris Paul has compiled 0.2 offensive rebounds per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 19th percentile -- one of the worst in the NBA in this category.
Chris Paul has played a mere 26.9 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 32.4 minutes per game last season.
Chris Paul will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens player production for all stats.

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