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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2025

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has made 1.7 threes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The 10th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.

The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Spurs rank 3rd-best in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Chris Paul has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 9.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to scoring, the San Antonio Spurs's lackluster 111.2 points per game as the road team places 8th-fewest in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The matchup vs. Denver is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have put up the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (20.5%).

Chris Paul will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen stat production in all stat categories.

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