Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2025

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs · Apr 2, 2025

Updated Apr 3, 2025 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has made 1.7 threes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The 10th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Spurs rank 3rd-best in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Chris Paul has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 9.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the San Antonio Spurs's lackluster 111.2 points per game as the road team places 8th-fewest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Denver is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have put up the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (20.5%).
Chris Paul will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen stat production in all stat categories.

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