Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2025

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 12, 2025

Updated Mar 13, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has successfully made 77.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 38.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.
The Spurs check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have totaled 2.4 threes per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, making this a favorable matchup.
The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

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