Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 9, 2025

Updated Mar 10, 2025 12:14 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has sunk 62.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 23.8% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.
Chris Paul has averaged 28.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
In regard to shooting, the San Antonio Spurs's exceptional 120.8 points per game comes in as the 6th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 3rd-quickest tempo road team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs.
Chris Paul has sunk an impressive 89.9% of his foul shots this season, significantly more than his 75.1 rate last season.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a challenging one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PGs have posted the lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (39.8%).
The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.
Chris Paul will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player performance in all stat categories.